Interest Rates and Inflation

10/16/17 | Casey Fleming | It’s been a while since I wrote about interest rates and inflation.  In the last six weeks rates have crept up about 0.250%.  Let’s talk about what happened. As you may recall, stocks and interest rates tend to move together most of the time.  This is because as stock prices...

Mortgage Rates Hold Steady in Mid-July

7/15/2017 | Casey Fleming |  Last week I predicted that underlying conditions (think wholesale interest rates) would probably improve during the week just ended, but that economic reports and announcements by Fed members carried too much risk for mortgage rates to improve much in mid-July.  I noted that we would probably see lock opportunities on...

Mortgage Rates Rise Before the Thunder Moon

7/8/2017 | Casey Fleming  Last week I predicted that rates would remain generally stable for the rest of the week, barring unexpected news.  Well, we had some unexpected news leading into the week of the Thunder Moon. The Thunder Moon is the full moon in July when thunderstorms are common in the United States.  It...

After the Feds: Mortgage Rates Want to Go Down

6/23/2017 | Casey Fleming The dust has settled, so we have been looking for clues as to what investors think about the Fed’s move, and how that will affect mortgage rates.  What we can conclude is that either the move was a yawner (we knew that the Fed move was expected) or that investors simply...

The Feds Mentioned the Elephant in the Room

4/7/2017 | Casey Fleming As I wrote last weekend the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the Federal Reserve (The Feds as they are known in the hood) was going to release the minutes of its March 14th meeting yesterday, April 6th, and the contents could move the market.  As it turns out, there was...

Lower Mortgage Rates Last Week

4/2/2017 | Casey Fleming Last week I wrote that due to a thin week of economic reports there was not much likely to happen the week of March 27th to drive mortgage rates one way or another.  I also noted that this coming week (April 3rd) there were more economic reports on tap, and some...

Are Interest Rates Coming Back Down?

Mortgage interest rates rose rapidly beginning the week before the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve met on March 14th and 15th.  As expected, the Feds raised short-term rates, and that spurred a rally in mortgage interest rates almost immediately. They had come up a long way, however, so they had a long way...

Why Mortgage Rates Dropped This Afternoon

3/15/2017 | Casey Fleming As anticipated, the FOMC – the Federal Open Market Committee of the Federal Reserve (or simply, “The Feds”) – voted to raise interest rates today, raising the discount rate from 0.75% to 1.000%.  So, everyone wants to know why mortgage rates dropped this afternoon.  Yes, that’s correct – dropped.  Shortly after...

Mortgage Rates – New Year, New Attitude?

What have mortgage rates been up to so far in 2017?  Are interest rates up, down, or sideways?  In a previous column, I wrote that interest rates would jump up if Donald Trump won the election, and probably settle down once the news had been digested.  Let’s see how I did. As we know by...

Interest Rates Settle in for the Holidays

Interest rates have settled in to a narrow range after the run-up in response to the election.  Despite a lot of year-end economic reports and some major events that would normally be market-moving, mortgage rates seem to be happily steady again for the time being, albeit above where they sat for most of the year....